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Raw-density alpha profile

Analysis Master 29-07-2026

How the fit changes with α, for the thinned data and for the full data. Same method as in Alpha calibration, using Model 4a. LL(b) closer to 0 means a better fit.

α Downsampled LL(b) Raw-density LL(b)
1.0 -0.6881 -0.7127
2.4297 -0.6701 -0.6928
3.0 -0.6707 -0.6924
4.0 -0.6725 -0.6920
4.6159 -0.6919
6.0 -0.6920

With thinned data, the best α is clearly between 2.4 and 2.6. With the full data, the best α is 4.6159. But between α = 3 and α = 6, the fit changes by less than 0.0009. So the full data does have a best value, but it is much less certain.

Part of Raw-density refit.